Compania (Argentina) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1285.0

TRAN Stock  ARS 2,210  15.00  0.67%   
Compania's future price is the expected price of Compania instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Compania de Transporte performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Compania Backtesting, Compania Valuation, Compania Correlation, Compania Hype Analysis, Compania Volatility, Compania History as well as Compania Performance.
  
Please specify Compania's target price for which you would like Compania odds to be computed.

Compania Target Price Odds to finish below 1285.0

The tendency of Compania Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,285  or more in 90 days
 2,210 90 days 1,285 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compania to drop to  1,285  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Compania de Transporte probability density function shows the probability of Compania Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compania de Transporte price to stay between  1,285  and its current price of 2210.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Compania de Transporte has a beta of -1.03. This usually implies Additionally Compania de Transporte has an alpha of 0.644, implying that it can generate a 0.64 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Compania Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Compania

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compania de Transporte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,2072,2102,213
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,9131,9162,431
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2,1652,1672,170
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2,1442,1942,244
Details

Compania Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compania is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compania's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compania de Transporte, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compania within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.64
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
185.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Compania Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compania for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compania de Transporte can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 17.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.23 B.

Compania Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compania Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compania's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compania's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding444.7 M

Compania Technical Analysis

Compania's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compania Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compania de Transporte. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compania Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Compania Predictive Forecast Models

Compania's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compania's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compania's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Compania de Transporte

Checking the ongoing alerts about Compania for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compania de Transporte help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 17.33 B. Net Loss for the year was (1.31 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.23 B.

Other Information on Investing in Compania Stock

Compania financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compania Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compania with respect to the benefits of owning Compania security.