Lendingtree Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.72
| TREE Stock | USD 38.57 1.30 3.26% |
Lendingtree |
Lendingtree Target Price Odds to finish over 15.72
The tendency of Lendingtree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 15.72 in 90 days |
| 38.57 | 90 days | 15.72 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lendingtree to stay above $ 15.72 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Lendingtree probability density function shows the probability of Lendingtree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lendingtree price to stay between $ 15.72 and its current price of $38.57 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lendingtree will likely underperform. Additionally Lendingtree has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lendingtree Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lendingtree
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lendingtree. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lendingtree's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lendingtree Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lendingtree is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lendingtree's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lendingtree, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lendingtree within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Lendingtree Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lendingtree for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lendingtree can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lendingtree generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lendingtree has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 672.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (122.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 927.22 M. | |
| Lendingtree has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: AS ALWAYS, THERE IS A REAL CHRISTMAS TREE FOR EVERYONE WHO WANTS ONE - NO MATTER WHEN THEY WANT IT. |
Lendingtree Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lendingtree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lendingtree's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lendingtree's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112.1 M |
Lendingtree Technical Analysis
Lendingtree's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lendingtree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lendingtree. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lendingtree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Lendingtree Predictive Forecast Models
Lendingtree's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lendingtree's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lendingtree's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Lendingtree
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lendingtree for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lendingtree help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Lendingtree generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lendingtree has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 672.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (122.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 927.22 M. | |
| Lendingtree has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: AS ALWAYS, THERE IS A REAL CHRISTMAS TREE FOR EVERYONE WHO WANTS ONE - NO MATTER WHEN THEY WANT IT. |
Check out Lendingtree Backtesting, Lendingtree Valuation, Lendingtree Correlation, Lendingtree Hype Analysis, Lendingtree Volatility, Lendingtree History as well as Lendingtree Performance. For information on how to trade Lendingtree Stock refer to our How to Trade Lendingtree Stock guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lendingtree. If investors know Lendingtree will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lendingtree listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.93) | Earnings Share (2.72) | Revenue Per Share 58.659 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.68 | Return On Assets 0.0231 |
The market value of Lendingtree is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lendingtree that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lendingtree's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lendingtree's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lendingtree's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lendingtree's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lendingtree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lendingtree is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lendingtree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.