Tree House (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.82
| TREEHOUSE | 15.69 0.29 1.88% |
Tree |
Tree House Target Price Odds to finish below 12.82
The tendency of Tree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 12.82 or more in 90 days |
| 15.69 | 90 days | 12.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tree House to drop to 12.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tree House Education probability density function shows the probability of Tree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tree House Education price to stay between 12.82 and its current price of 15.69 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.94 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tree House has a beta of 0.07. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tree House average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tree House Education will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tree House Education has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tree House Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tree House
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tree House Education. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tree House Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tree House is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tree House's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tree House Education, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tree House within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.54 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Tree House Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tree House for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tree House Education can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tree House Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tree House Education has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 81.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.79 M. | |
| Tree House Education has accumulated about 0 in cash with (8.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tree House Education Accessories Hits 52-Week Low, Receives Strong Sell Rating from MarketsMOJO - MarketsMojo |
Tree House Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tree House's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tree House's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 25 K |
Tree House Technical Analysis
Tree House's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tree House Education. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tree House Predictive Forecast Models
Tree House's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tree House's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tree House's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tree House Education
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tree House for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tree House Education help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tree House Education generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tree House Education has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 81.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.79 M. | |
| Tree House Education has accumulated about 0 in cash with (8.31 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Tree House Education Accessories Hits 52-Week Low, Receives Strong Sell Rating from MarketsMOJO - MarketsMojo |
Additional Tools for Tree Stock Analysis
When running Tree House's price analysis, check to measure Tree House's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tree House is operating at the current time. Most of Tree House's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tree House's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tree House's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tree House to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.