Trendline (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 850.33

TREN Stock   591.20  2.10  0.35%   
Trendline's future price is the expected price of Trendline instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Trendline performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trendline Backtesting, Trendline Valuation, Trendline Correlation, Trendline Hype Analysis, Trendline Volatility, Trendline History as well as Trendline Performance.
  
Please specify Trendline's target price for which you would like Trendline odds to be computed.

Trendline Target Price Odds to finish below 850.33

The tendency of Trendline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  850.33  after 90 days
 591.20 90 days 850.33 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trendline to stay under  850.33  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Trendline probability density function shows the probability of Trendline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trendline price to stay between its current price of  591.20  and  850.33  at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trendline has a beta of -0.18. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Trendline are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Trendline is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Trendline has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Trendline Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Trendline

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trendline. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
589.42591.20592.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
510.14511.92650.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
593.06594.84596.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
568.57635.97703.37
Details

Trendline Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trendline is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trendline's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trendline, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trendline within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
30.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Trendline Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trendline for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trendline can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trendline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Trendline Technical Analysis

Trendline's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trendline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trendline. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trendline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Trendline Predictive Forecast Models

Trendline's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trendline's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trendline's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Trendline

Checking the ongoing alerts about Trendline for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trendline help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Trendline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 67.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Trendline Stock

Trendline financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trendline Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trendline with respect to the benefits of owning Trendline security.