Trainers House (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.83
| TRH1V Stock | EUR 2.24 0.14 6.67% |
Trainers |
Trainers House Target Price Odds to finish below 1.83
The tendency of Trainers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.83 or more in 90 days |
| 2.24 | 90 days | 1.83 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trainers House to drop to € 1.83 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Trainers House Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Trainers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trainers House Oyj price to stay between € 1.83 and its current price of €2.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trainers House has a beta of 0.61. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trainers House average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trainers House Oyj will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trainers House Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Trainers House Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trainers House
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trainers House Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trainers House's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trainers House Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trainers House is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trainers House's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trainers House Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trainers House within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Trainers House Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trainers House for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trainers House Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trainers House Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Trainers House Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trainers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trainers House's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trainers House's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1 M |
Trainers House Technical Analysis
Trainers House's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trainers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trainers House Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trainers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trainers House Predictive Forecast Models
Trainers House's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trainers House's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trainers House's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trainers House Oyj
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trainers House for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trainers House Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trainers House Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Trainers Stock
Trainers House financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trainers Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trainers with respect to the benefits of owning Trainers House security.