Trinity Capital Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.25
| TRIN Stock | USD 14.34 0.08 0.56% |
Trinity |
Trinity Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 14.25
The tendency of Trinity Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.25 or more in 90 days |
| 14.34 | 90 days | 14.25 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trinity Capital to drop to $ 14.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Trinity Capital probability density function shows the probability of Trinity Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trinity Capital price to stay between $ 14.25 and its current price of $14.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Trinity Capital has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Trinity Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Trinity Capital will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Trinity Capital has an alpha of 0.0106, implying that it can generate a 0.0106 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trinity Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trinity Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trinity Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trinity Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trinity Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trinity Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trinity Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trinity Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Trinity Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trinity Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trinity Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trinity Capital currently holds 646.89 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.28, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Trinity Capital has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Trinity Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Trinity Capital paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Longtime commercial real estate exec changes Charlotte firms |
Trinity Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trinity Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trinity Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinity Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.8 M |
Trinity Capital Technical Analysis
Trinity Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trinity Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trinity Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trinity Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trinity Capital Predictive Forecast Models
Trinity Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trinity Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trinity Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trinity Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trinity Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trinity Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trinity Capital currently holds 646.89 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 1.28, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Trinity Capital has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Trinity Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Trinity Capital paid $ 0.51 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Longtime commercial real estate exec changes Charlotte firms |
Check out Trinity Capital Backtesting, Trinity Capital Valuation, Trinity Capital Correlation, Trinity Capital Hype Analysis, Trinity Capital Volatility, Trinity Capital History as well as Trinity Capital Performance. To learn how to invest in Trinity Stock, please use our How to Invest in Trinity Capital guide.You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trinity Capital. If investors know Trinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trinity Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.072 | Dividend Share 2.03 | Earnings Share 1.7 | Revenue Per Share 4.193 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.314 |
The market value of Trinity Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trinity Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trinity Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trinity Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trinity Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trinity Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trinity Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trinity Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.