Troika Media Group Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.03
| TRKAWDelisted Stock | USD 0.04 0.00 0.00% |
Troika |
Troika Media Target Price Odds to finish over 0.03
The tendency of Troika Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.03 in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.03 | about 70.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Troika Media to stay above $ 0.03 in 90 days from now is about 70.6 (This Troika Media Group probability density function shows the probability of Troika Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Troika Media Group price to stay between $ 0.03 and its current price of $0.035 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.24 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Troika Media will likely underperform. Additionally Troika Media Group has an alpha of 0.3812, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Troika Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Troika Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Troika Media Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Troika Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Troika Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Troika Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Troika Media Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Troika Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Troika Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Troika Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Troika Media Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Troika Media Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Troika Media Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Troika Media Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Troika Media Group has accumulated 78.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Troika Media Group has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Troika Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 116.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Troika Media Group has accumulated about 1.07 M in cash with (7.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Troika Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Troika Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Troika Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Troika Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 32.7 M |
Troika Media Technical Analysis
Troika Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Troika Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Troika Media Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Troika Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Troika Media Predictive Forecast Models
Troika Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Troika Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Troika Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Troika Media Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Troika Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Troika Media Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Troika Media Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Troika Media Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Troika Media Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Troika Media Group has accumulated 78.95 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.86, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Troika Media Group has a current ratio of 0.21, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Note, when we think about Troika Media's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 116.41 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.69 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Troika Media Group has accumulated about 1.07 M in cash with (7.1 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Other Consideration for investing in Troika Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Troika Media Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Troika Media's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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