Trellus Health (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| TRLS Stock | 0.68 0.02 2.86% |
Trellus |
Trellus Health Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Trellus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.68 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trellus Health to drop to 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Trellus Health plc probability density function shows the probability of Trellus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trellus Health plc price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.76 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trellus Health plc has a beta of -1.28. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Trellus Health plc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Trellus Health is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Trellus Health plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Trellus Health Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trellus Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trellus Health plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trellus Health Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trellus Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trellus Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trellus Health plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trellus Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Trellus Health Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trellus Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trellus Health plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Trellus Health plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Trellus Health plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Trellus Health plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Trellus Health plc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 19 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25 K. | |
| Trellus Health generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Trellus Health Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trellus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trellus Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trellus Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.2 M |
Trellus Health Technical Analysis
Trellus Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trellus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trellus Health plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trellus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trellus Health Predictive Forecast Models
Trellus Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trellus Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trellus Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trellus Health plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trellus Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trellus Health plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Trellus Health plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Trellus Health plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Trellus Health plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Trellus Health plc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 19 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 25 K. | |
| Trellus Health generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Trellus Stock Analysis
When running Trellus Health's price analysis, check to measure Trellus Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trellus Health is operating at the current time. Most of Trellus Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trellus Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trellus Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trellus Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.