TORM Plc (Denmark) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 238.15

TRMD-A Stock  DKK 155.80  0.90  0.58%   
TORM Plc's future price is the expected price of TORM Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TORM plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TORM Plc Backtesting, TORM Plc Valuation, TORM Plc Correlation, TORM Plc Hype Analysis, TORM Plc Volatility, TORM Plc History as well as TORM Plc Performance.
  
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TORM Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 238.15

The tendency of TORM Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 238.15  after 90 days
 155.80 90 days 238.15 
about 85.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TORM Plc to stay under kr 238.15  after 90 days from now is about 85.46 (This TORM plc probability density function shows the probability of TORM Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TORM plc price to stay between its current price of kr 155.80  and kr 238.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TORM Plc has a beta of 0.42. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TORM Plc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TORM plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TORM plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   TORM Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TORM Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TORM plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
153.75155.80157.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
130.38132.43171.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
150.68152.73154.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
154.65155.50156.35
Details

TORM Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TORM Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TORM Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TORM plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TORM Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.71
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
28.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.38

TORM Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TORM Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TORM plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TORM plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TORM plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 619.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 188.12 M.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

TORM Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TORM Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TORM Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TORM Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding80.7 M

TORM Plc Technical Analysis

TORM Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TORM Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TORM plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing TORM Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TORM Plc Predictive Forecast Models

TORM Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many TORM Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TORM Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TORM plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about TORM Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TORM plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
TORM plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
TORM plc has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 619.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (42.09 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 188.12 M.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in TORM Stock

TORM Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether TORM Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TORM with respect to the benefits of owning TORM Plc security.