Tirathai Public (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.88

TRT Stock  THB 3.84  0.02  0.52%   
Tirathai Public's future price is the expected price of Tirathai Public instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tirathai Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tirathai Public Backtesting, Tirathai Public Valuation, Tirathai Public Correlation, Tirathai Public Hype Analysis, Tirathai Public Volatility, Tirathai Public History as well as Tirathai Public Performance.
  
Please specify Tirathai Public's target price for which you would like Tirathai Public odds to be computed.

Tirathai Public Target Price Odds to finish over 3.88

The tendency of Tirathai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  3.88  or more in 90 days
 3.84 90 days 3.88 
about 17.66
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tirathai Public to move over  3.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.66 (This Tirathai Public probability density function shows the probability of Tirathai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tirathai Public price to stay between its current price of  3.84  and  3.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tirathai Public has a beta of -0.33. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tirathai Public are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tirathai Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tirathai Public has an alpha of 0.0829, implying that it can generate a 0.0829 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tirathai Public Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tirathai Public

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tirathai Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.863.845.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.273.255.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.733.715.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.453.794.12
Details

Tirathai Public Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tirathai Public is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tirathai Public's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tirathai Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tirathai Public within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Tirathai Public Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tirathai Public for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tirathai Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tirathai Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Tirathai Public Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tirathai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tirathai Public's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tirathai Public's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding308 M

Tirathai Public Technical Analysis

Tirathai Public's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tirathai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tirathai Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tirathai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tirathai Public Predictive Forecast Models

Tirathai Public's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tirathai Public's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tirathai Public's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tirathai Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tirathai Public for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tirathai Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Tirathai Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 32.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Tirathai Stock

Tirathai Public financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tirathai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tirathai with respect to the benefits of owning Tirathai Public security.