Trust Finance (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 436.56
| TRUS Stock | IDR 448.00 18.00 4.19% |
Trust |
Trust Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 436.56
The tendency of Trust Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 436.56 or more in 90 days |
| 448.00 | 90 days | 436.56 | about 60.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Trust Finance to drop to 436.56 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.17 (This Trust Finance Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Trust Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Trust Finance Indonesia price to stay between 436.56 and its current price of 448.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Trust Finance Indonesia has a beta of -0.17. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Trust Finance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Trust Finance Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Trust Finance Indonesia has an alpha of 0.0827, implying that it can generate a 0.0827 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Trust Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Trust Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trust Finance Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trust Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Trust Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Trust Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Trust Finance Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Trust Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Trust Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Trust Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Trust Finance Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Trust Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Trust Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Trust Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trust Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 800 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 127.3 B |
Trust Finance Technical Analysis
Trust Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Trust Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Trust Finance Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Trust Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Trust Finance Predictive Forecast Models
Trust Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many Trust Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Trust Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Trust Finance Indonesia
Checking the ongoing alerts about Trust Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Trust Finance Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Trust Stock
Trust Finance financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trust Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trust with respect to the benefits of owning Trust Finance security.