Takkt AG (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.38

TTK Stock  EUR 8.82  0.10  1.12%   
Takkt AG's future price is the expected price of Takkt AG instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Takkt AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Takkt AG Backtesting, Takkt AG Valuation, Takkt AG Correlation, Takkt AG Hype Analysis, Takkt AG Volatility, Takkt AG History as well as Takkt AG Performance.
  
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Takkt AG Target Price Odds to finish below 12.38

The tendency of Takkt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 12.38  after 90 days
 8.82 90 days 12.38 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Takkt AG to stay under € 12.38  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Takkt AG probability density function shows the probability of Takkt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Takkt AG price to stay between its current price of € 8.82  and € 12.38  at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Takkt AG has a beta of 0.0014. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Takkt AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Takkt AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Takkt AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Takkt AG Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Takkt AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Takkt AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.838.8210.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.587.579.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.008.9810.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.598.8610.12
Details

Takkt AG Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Takkt AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Takkt AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Takkt AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Takkt AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.71
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Takkt AG Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Takkt AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Takkt AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Takkt AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Takkt AG Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Takkt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Takkt AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Takkt AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding65.6 M
Dividends Paid72.2 M
Short Long Term Debt21.3 M

Takkt AG Technical Analysis

Takkt AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Takkt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Takkt AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Takkt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Takkt AG Predictive Forecast Models

Takkt AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Takkt AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Takkt AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Takkt AG

Checking the ongoing alerts about Takkt AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Takkt AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Takkt AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Takkt Stock

Takkt AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Takkt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Takkt with respect to the benefits of owning Takkt AG security.