Turk Telekomunikasyon (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.40
| TTKOM Stock | TRY 46.72 0.16 0.34% |
Turk |
Turk Telekomunikasyon Target Price Odds to finish over 49.40
The tendency of Turk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 49.40 or more in 90 days |
| 46.72 | 90 days | 49.40 | about 26.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Turk Telekomunikasyon to move over 49.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 26.38 (This Turk Telekomunikasyon AS probability density function shows the probability of Turk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Turk Telekomunikasyon price to stay between its current price of 46.72 and 49.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Turk Telekomunikasyon AS has a beta of -0.0582. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Turk Telekomunikasyon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Turk Telekomunikasyon AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Turk Telekomunikasyon AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Turk Telekomunikasyon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Turk Telekomunikasyon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turk Telekomunikasyon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Turk Telekomunikasyon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Turk Telekomunikasyon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Turk Telekomunikasyon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Turk Telekomunikasyon AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Turk Telekomunikasyon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Turk Telekomunikasyon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Turk Telekomunikasyon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Turk Telekomunikasyon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Turk Telekomunikasyon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Turk Telekomunikasyon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Turk Telekomunikasyon AS has accumulated 21.84 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 282.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Turk Telekomunikasyon has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Turk Telekomunikasyon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Turk Telekomunikasyon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Turk Telekomunikasyon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Turk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Turk Telekomunikasyon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 87.0% of Turk Telekomunikasyon outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Turk Telekomunikasyon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Turk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Turk Telekomunikasyon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turk Telekomunikasyon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B |
Turk Telekomunikasyon Technical Analysis
Turk Telekomunikasyon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Turk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Turk Telekomunikasyon AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Turk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Turk Telekomunikasyon Predictive Forecast Models
Turk Telekomunikasyon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Turk Telekomunikasyon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Turk Telekomunikasyon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Turk Telekomunikasyon
Checking the ongoing alerts about Turk Telekomunikasyon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Turk Telekomunikasyon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Turk Telekomunikasyon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Turk Telekomunikasyon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Turk Telekomunikasyon AS has accumulated 21.84 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 282.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Turk Telekomunikasyon has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Turk Telekomunikasyon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Turk Telekomunikasyon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Turk Telekomunikasyon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Turk to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Turk Telekomunikasyon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 87.0% of Turk Telekomunikasyon outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Turk Stock
Turk Telekomunikasyon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Turk Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Turk with respect to the benefits of owning Turk Telekomunikasyon security.