Techtronic Industries Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 13.28
| TTNDF Stock | USD 13.53 0.03 0.22% |
Techtronic |
Techtronic Industries Target Price Odds to finish below 13.28
The tendency of Techtronic Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.28 or more in 90 days |
| 13.53 | 90 days | 13.28 | about 17.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Techtronic Industries to drop to $ 13.28 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.44 (This Techtronic Industries probability density function shows the probability of Techtronic Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Techtronic Industries price to stay between $ 13.28 and its current price of $13.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.29 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Techtronic Industries has a beta of -0.65. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Techtronic Industries are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Techtronic Industries is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Techtronic Industries has an alpha of 0.2718, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Techtronic Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Techtronic Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Techtronic Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Techtronic Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Techtronic Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Techtronic Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Techtronic Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Techtronic Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Techtronic Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Techtronic Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Techtronic Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Techtronic Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Techtronic Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Techtronic Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Techtronic Industries has accumulated about 1.67 B in cash with (100.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Techtronic Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Techtronic Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Techtronic Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Techtronic Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Techtronic Industries Technical Analysis
Techtronic Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Techtronic Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Techtronic Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Techtronic Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Techtronic Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Techtronic Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Techtronic Industries' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Techtronic Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Techtronic Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Techtronic Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Techtronic Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Techtronic Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Techtronic Industries has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Techtronic Industries has accumulated about 1.67 B in cash with (100.94 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.91. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Techtronic Pink Sheet
Techtronic Industries financial ratios help investors to determine whether Techtronic Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Techtronic with respect to the benefits of owning Techtronic Industries security.