Tubize Fin (Belgium) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 136.04
TUB Stock | EUR 138.40 2.20 1.62% |
Tubize |
Tubize Fin Target Price Odds to finish below 136.04
The tendency of Tubize Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 136.04 or more in 90 days |
138.40 | 90 days | 136.04 | about 57.52 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tubize Fin to drop to 136.04 or more in 90 days from now is about 57.52 (This Tubize Fin probability density function shows the probability of Tubize Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tubize Fin price to stay between 136.04 and its current price of 138.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Tubize Fin has a beta of 0.89. This usually implies Tubize Fin market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tubize Fin is expected to follow. Additionally Tubize Fin has an alpha of 0.1377, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tubize Fin Price Density |
Price |
Predictive Modules for Tubize Fin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tubize Fin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tubize Fin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tubize Fin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tubize Fin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tubize Fin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tubize Fin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Tubize Fin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tubize Fin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tubize Fin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.The company has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tubize Fin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tubize Fin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tubize Fin sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tubize to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tubize Fin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Tubize Fin has accumulated about 1.02 M in cash with (1.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
Roughly 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Tubize Fin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tubize Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tubize Fin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tubize Fin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.5 M | |
Short Long Term Debt | 20 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.9 M |
Tubize Fin Technical Analysis
Tubize Fin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tubize Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tubize Fin. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tubize Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tubize Fin Predictive Forecast Models
Tubize Fin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tubize Fin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tubize Fin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tubize Fin
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tubize Fin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tubize Fin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tubize Fin until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tubize Fin's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tubize Fin sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tubize to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tubize Fin's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Tubize Fin has accumulated about 1.02 M in cash with (1.16 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
Roughly 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Tubize Stock Analysis
When running Tubize Fin's price analysis, check to measure Tubize Fin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tubize Fin is operating at the current time. Most of Tubize Fin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tubize Fin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tubize Fin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tubize Fin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.