Tullow Oil Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.24
| TUWLF Stock | USD 0.29 0.06 26.09% |
Tullow |
Tullow Oil Target Price Odds to finish below 0.24
The tendency of Tullow Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.24 or more in 90 days |
| 0.29 | 90 days | 0.24 | nearly 4.1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tullow Oil to drop to $ 0.24 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.1 (This Tullow Oil plc probability density function shows the probability of Tullow Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tullow Oil plc price to stay between $ 0.24 and its current price of $0.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tullow Oil has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tullow Oil average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tullow Oil plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tullow Oil plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tullow Oil Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tullow Oil
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tullow Oil plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tullow Oil Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tullow Oil is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tullow Oil's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tullow Oil plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tullow Oil within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Tullow Oil Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tullow Oil for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tullow Oil plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tullow Oil plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tullow Oil plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tullow Oil plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tullow Oil plc has accumulated 2.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.57, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tullow Oil plc has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tullow Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tullow Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tullow Oil plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tullow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tullow Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 634.3 M. | |
| About 65.0% of Tullow Oil shares are owned by institutional investors |
Tullow Oil Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tullow Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tullow Oil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tullow Oil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B |
Tullow Oil Technical Analysis
Tullow Oil's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tullow Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tullow Oil plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tullow Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tullow Oil Predictive Forecast Models
Tullow Oil's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tullow Oil's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tullow Oil's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tullow Oil plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tullow Oil for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tullow Oil plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tullow Oil plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tullow Oil plc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tullow Oil plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tullow Oil plc has accumulated 2.47 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 4.57, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Tullow Oil plc has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tullow Oil until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tullow Oil's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tullow Oil plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tullow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tullow Oil's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.27 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 634.3 M. | |
| About 65.0% of Tullow Oil shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in Tullow Pink Sheet
Tullow Oil financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tullow Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tullow with respect to the benefits of owning Tullow Oil security.