Tuya Inc Adr Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.992
| TUYA Stock | USD 3.57 0.04 1.13% |
Closest to current price Tuya long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
Tuya |
Tuya Target Price Odds to finish over 1.992
The tendency of Tuya Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.99 in 90 days |
| 3.57 | 90 days | 1.99 | about 63.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tuya to stay above $ 1.99 in 90 days from now is about 63.06 (This Tuya Inc ADR probability density function shows the probability of Tuya Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tuya Inc ADR price to stay between $ 1.99 and its current price of $3.57 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.53 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Tuya Inc ADR has a beta of -0.53. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tuya are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tuya Inc ADR is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Tuya Inc ADR has an alpha of 1.3905, implying that it can generate a 1.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tuya Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tuya
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tuya Inc ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tuya's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tuya Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tuya is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tuya's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tuya Inc ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tuya within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
Tuya Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tuya for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tuya Inc ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tuya Inc ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tuya Inc ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 229.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 132.66 M. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Tuya Inc Reports Strong Financial Performance for Q4 and FY 2024 |
Tuya Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tuya Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tuya's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tuya's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 555.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 789.7 M |
Tuya Technical Analysis
Tuya's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tuya Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tuya Inc ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tuya Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tuya Predictive Forecast Models
Tuya's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tuya's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tuya's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tuya Inc ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tuya for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tuya Inc ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tuya Inc ADR is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Tuya Inc ADR appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 229.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (60.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 132.66 M. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Tuya Inc Reports Strong Financial Performance for Q4 and FY 2024 |
Check out Tuya Backtesting, Tuya Valuation, Tuya Correlation, Tuya Hype Analysis, Tuya Volatility, Tuya History as well as Tuya Performance. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tuya. If investors know Tuya will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tuya listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.03) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.336 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Tuya Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tuya that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tuya's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tuya's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tuya's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tuya's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tuya's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tuya is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tuya's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.