Teuza A (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 32.33

TUZA Stock  ILS 36.70  0.20  0.54%   
Teuza A's future price is the expected price of Teuza A instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Teuza A Fairchild performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Teuza A Backtesting, Teuza A Valuation, Teuza A Correlation, Teuza A Hype Analysis, Teuza A Volatility, Teuza A History as well as Teuza A Performance.
  
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Teuza A Target Price Odds to finish below 32.33

The tendency of Teuza Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 32.33  or more in 90 days
 36.70 90 days 32.33 
about 1.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Teuza A to drop to S 32.33  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.77 (This Teuza A Fairchild probability density function shows the probability of Teuza Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Teuza A Fairchild price to stay between S 32.33  and its current price of S36.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Teuza A has a beta of 0.82. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Teuza A average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Teuza A Fairchild will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Teuza A Fairchild has an alpha of 0.0207, implying that it can generate a 0.0207 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Teuza A Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Teuza A

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teuza A Fairchild. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5736.7040.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.8732.0040.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.9235.0439.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
36.5836.7736.96
Details

Teuza A Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Teuza A is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Teuza A's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Teuza A Fairchild, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Teuza A within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
2.89
Ir
Information ratio -0.0001

Teuza A Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Teuza A for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Teuza A Fairchild can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teuza A Fairchild had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Teuza A Fairchild has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (370 K).
Teuza A Fairchild has accumulated about 6.21 M in cash with (1.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Teuza A Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Teuza Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Teuza A's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teuza A's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding113.9 M

Teuza A Technical Analysis

Teuza A's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Teuza Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Teuza A Fairchild. In general, you should focus on analyzing Teuza Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Teuza A Predictive Forecast Models

Teuza A's time-series forecasting models is one of many Teuza A's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Teuza A's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Teuza A Fairchild

Checking the ongoing alerts about Teuza A for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Teuza A Fairchild help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Teuza A Fairchild had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Teuza A Fairchild has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (2.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (370 K).
Teuza A Fairchild has accumulated about 6.21 M in cash with (1.61 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05.
Roughly 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Teuza Stock

Teuza A financial ratios help investors to determine whether Teuza Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Teuza with respect to the benefits of owning Teuza A security.