Three Valley Copper Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.02
| TVCCF Stock | USD 0.0001 0.0009 90.00% |
Three |
Three Valley Target Price Odds to finish below 0.02
The tendency of Three Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.02 after 90 days |
| 0.0001 | 90 days | 0.02 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Three Valley to stay under $ 0.02 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Three Valley Copper probability density function shows the probability of Three Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Three Valley Copper price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0001 and $ 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.63 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Three Valley Copper has a beta of -156.96. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Three Valley Copper are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Three Valley is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Three Valley Copper has an alpha of 223.5528, implying that it can generate a 223.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Three Valley Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Three Valley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Three Valley Copper. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Three Valley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Three Valley Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Three Valley is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Three Valley's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Three Valley Copper, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Three Valley within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 223.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -156.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.20 |
Three Valley Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Three Valley for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Three Valley Copper can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Three Valley Copper is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Three Valley Copper has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Three Valley Copper appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Three Valley Copper has accumulated 77.02 M in total debt. Three Valley Copper has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Three Valley until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Three Valley's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Three Valley Copper sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Three to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Three Valley's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 32.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.4 M). | |
| Three Valley Copper has accumulated about 7.55 M in cash with (12.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Three Valley Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Three Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Three Valley's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Three Valley's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 112.5 M |
Three Valley Technical Analysis
Three Valley's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Three Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Three Valley Copper. In general, you should focus on analyzing Three Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Three Valley Predictive Forecast Models
Three Valley's time-series forecasting models is one of many Three Valley's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Three Valley's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Three Valley Copper
Checking the ongoing alerts about Three Valley for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Three Valley Copper help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Three Valley Copper is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Three Valley Copper has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Three Valley Copper appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Three Valley Copper has accumulated 77.02 M in total debt. Three Valley Copper has a current ratio of 0.15, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Three Valley until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Three Valley's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Three Valley Copper sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Three to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Three Valley's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 32.91 M. Net Loss for the year was (37.36 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (21.4 M). | |
| Three Valley Copper has accumulated about 7.55 M in cash with (12.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.07, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Three Pink Sheet
Three Valley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Three Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Three with respect to the benefits of owning Three Valley security.