Thumzup Media Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 5.03
| TZUP Stock | USD 4.06 0.35 7.94% |
Thumzup |
Thumzup Media Target Price Odds to finish over 5.03
The tendency of Thumzup OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 5.03 or more in 90 days |
| 4.06 | 90 days | 5.03 | about 71.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Thumzup Media to move over $ 5.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 71.48 (This Thumzup Media probability density function shows the probability of Thumzup OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Thumzup Media price to stay between its current price of $ 4.06 and $ 5.03 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.84 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Thumzup Media will likely underperform. Additionally Thumzup Media has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Thumzup Media Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Thumzup Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thumzup Media. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Thumzup Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Thumzup Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Thumzup Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Thumzup Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Thumzup Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Thumzup Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.74 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Thumzup Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Thumzup Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Thumzup Media can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Thumzup Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thumzup Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Thumzup Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 K. Net Loss for the year was (857.25 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.45 K. | |
| Thumzup Media currently holds about 653.86 K in cash with (813.21 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: BAOS Stock Surges Amidst Broader Advertising Sector Gains |
Thumzup Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Thumzup OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Thumzup Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thumzup Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 M |
Thumzup Media Technical Analysis
Thumzup Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Thumzup OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Thumzup Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Thumzup OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Thumzup Media Predictive Forecast Models
Thumzup Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Thumzup Media's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Thumzup Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Thumzup Media
Checking the ongoing alerts about Thumzup Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Thumzup Media help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Thumzup Media generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Thumzup Media has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Thumzup Media has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.45 K. Net Loss for the year was (857.25 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.45 K. | |
| Thumzup Media currently holds about 653.86 K in cash with (813.21 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Roughly 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: BAOS Stock Surges Amidst Broader Advertising Sector Gains |
Additional Tools for Thumzup OTC Stock Analysis
When running Thumzup Media's price analysis, check to measure Thumzup Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Thumzup Media is operating at the current time. Most of Thumzup Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Thumzup Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Thumzup Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Thumzup Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.