Umbra Applied Technologies Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.00479
| UATG Stock | USD 0.01 0.0003 6.12% |
Umbra |
Umbra Applied Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00479
The tendency of Umbra Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Umbra Applied to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Umbra Applied Technologies probability density function shows the probability of Umbra Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Umbra Applied Techno price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0052 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.09 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.08 . This usually implies Umbra Applied Technologies market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Umbra Applied is expected to follow. Moreover Umbra Applied Technologies has an alpha of 1.0495, implying that it can generate a 1.05 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Umbra Applied Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Umbra Applied
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Umbra Applied Techno. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Umbra Applied's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Umbra Applied Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Umbra Applied is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Umbra Applied's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Umbra Applied Technologies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Umbra Applied within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0006 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Umbra Applied Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Umbra Applied for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Umbra Applied Techno can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Umbra Applied Techno is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Umbra Applied Techno has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Umbra Applied Techno appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 80.28 K. Net Loss for the year was (716.95 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Umbra Applied Technologies currently holds about 710.64 K in cash with (705.17 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 3M Co Announces 2025 Investor Day Event |
Umbra Applied Technical Analysis
Umbra Applied's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Umbra Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Umbra Applied Technologies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Umbra Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Umbra Applied Predictive Forecast Models
Umbra Applied's time-series forecasting models is one of many Umbra Applied's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Umbra Applied's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Umbra Applied Techno
Checking the ongoing alerts about Umbra Applied for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Umbra Applied Techno help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Umbra Applied Techno is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Umbra Applied Techno has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Umbra Applied Techno appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 80.28 K. Net Loss for the year was (716.95 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Umbra Applied Technologies currently holds about 710.64 K in cash with (705.17 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 3M Co Announces 2025 Investor Day Event |
Other Information on Investing in Umbra Pink Sheet
Umbra Applied financial ratios help investors to determine whether Umbra Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Umbra with respect to the benefits of owning Umbra Applied security.