URW (STAPLSHS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.71

UBLB Stock  EUR 3.74  0.02  0.54%   
URW (STAPLSHS's future price is the expected price of URW (STAPLSHS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of URW EO 05 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out URW (STAPLSHS Backtesting, URW (STAPLSHS Valuation, URW (STAPLSHS Correlation, URW (STAPLSHS Hype Analysis, URW (STAPLSHS Volatility, URW (STAPLSHS History as well as URW (STAPLSHS Performance.
  
Please specify URW (STAPLSHS's target price for which you would like URW (STAPLSHS odds to be computed.

URW (STAPLSHS Target Price Odds to finish over 3.71

The tendency of URW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 3.71  in 90 days
 3.74 90 days 3.71 
about 38.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of URW (STAPLSHS to stay above € 3.71  in 90 days from now is about 38.19 (This URW EO 05 probability density function shows the probability of URW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of URW (STAPLSHS price to stay between € 3.71  and its current price of €3.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon URW (STAPLSHS has a beta of 0.29. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, URW (STAPLSHS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding URW EO 05 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally URW EO 05 has an alpha of 0.0845, implying that it can generate a 0.0845 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   URW (STAPLSHS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for URW (STAPLSHS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as URW (STAPLSHS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.063.745.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.983.665.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.223.905.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.573.693.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as URW (STAPLSHS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against URW (STAPLSHS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, URW (STAPLSHS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in URW (STAPLSHS.

URW (STAPLSHS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. URW (STAPLSHS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the URW (STAPLSHS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold URW EO 05, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of URW (STAPLSHS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.0033

URW (STAPLSHS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of URW (STAPLSHS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for URW (STAPLSHS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
URW (STAPLSHS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
URW EO 05 has accumulated 29.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. URW (STAPLSHS has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist URW (STAPLSHS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, URW (STAPLSHS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like URW (STAPLSHS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for URW to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about URW (STAPLSHS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.21 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 866.3 M.

URW (STAPLSHS Technical Analysis

URW (STAPLSHS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. URW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of URW EO 05. In general, you should focus on analyzing URW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

URW (STAPLSHS Predictive Forecast Models

URW (STAPLSHS's time-series forecasting models is one of many URW (STAPLSHS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary URW (STAPLSHS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about URW (STAPLSHS

Checking the ongoing alerts about URW (STAPLSHS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for URW (STAPLSHS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
URW (STAPLSHS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
URW EO 05 has accumulated 29.83 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. URW (STAPLSHS has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist URW (STAPLSHS until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, URW (STAPLSHS's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like URW (STAPLSHS sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for URW to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about URW (STAPLSHS's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (7.21 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 866.3 M.

Other Information on Investing in URW Stock

URW (STAPLSHS financial ratios help investors to determine whether URW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in URW with respect to the benefits of owning URW (STAPLSHS security.