United Bankshares Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 41.46
| UBSI Stock | USD 42.49 0.38 0.89% |
United |
United Bankshares Target Price Odds to finish below 41.46
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 41.46 or more in 90 days |
| 42.49 | 90 days | 41.46 | about 90.26 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Bankshares to drop to $ 41.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 90.26 (This United Bankshares probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Bankshares price to stay between $ 41.46 and its current price of $42.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.12 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, United Bankshares will likely underperform. Additionally United Bankshares has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. United Bankshares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for United Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Bankshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Bankshares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Bankshares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Bankshares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Bankshares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Bankshares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
United Bankshares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Bankshares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Bankshares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: United Bankshares director J. Paul McNamara sells shares worth 107,146 |
United Bankshares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 134.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 B |
United Bankshares Technical Analysis
United Bankshares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Bankshares. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Bankshares Predictive Forecast Models
United Bankshares' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Bankshares' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Bankshares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Bankshares
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Bankshares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Bankshares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: United Bankshares director J. Paul McNamara sells shares worth 107,146 |
Check out United Bankshares Backtesting, United Bankshares Valuation, United Bankshares Correlation, United Bankshares Hype Analysis, United Bankshares Volatility, United Bankshares History as well as United Bankshares Performance. For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Bankshares guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Bankshares. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share 2.65 | Revenue Per Share 7.498 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of United Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.