Undiscovered Managers Behavioral Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 93.59
| UBVSX Fund | USD 93.73 1.62 1.76% |
UNDISCOVERED |
Undiscovered Managers Target Price Odds to finish over 93.59
The tendency of UNDISCOVERED Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 93.59 in 90 days |
| 93.73 | 90 days | 93.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Undiscovered Managers to stay above $ 93.59 in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Undiscovered Managers Behavioral probability density function shows the probability of UNDISCOVERED Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Undiscovered Managers price to stay between $ 93.59 and its current price of $93.73 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.25 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Undiscovered Managers will likely underperform. Additionally Undiscovered Managers Behavioral has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Undiscovered Managers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Undiscovered Managers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Undiscovered Managers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Undiscovered Managers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Undiscovered Managers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Undiscovered Managers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Undiscovered Managers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Undiscovered Managers Behavioral, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Undiscovered Managers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Undiscovered Managers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Undiscovered Managers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Undiscovered Managers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund keeps about 9.24% of its net assets in cash |
Undiscovered Managers Technical Analysis
Undiscovered Managers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UNDISCOVERED Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Undiscovered Managers Behavioral. In general, you should focus on analyzing UNDISCOVERED Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Undiscovered Managers Predictive Forecast Models
Undiscovered Managers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Undiscovered Managers' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Undiscovered Managers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Undiscovered Managers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Undiscovered Managers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Undiscovered Managers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund keeps about 9.24% of its net assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in UNDISCOVERED Mutual Fund
Undiscovered Managers financial ratios help investors to determine whether UNDISCOVERED Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UNDISCOVERED with respect to the benefits of owning Undiscovered Managers security.
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities |