U Blox (Switzerland) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 60.42

UBXN Stock  CHF 70.90  1.00  1.43%   
U Blox's future price is the expected price of U Blox instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of U Blox Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out U Blox Backtesting, U Blox Valuation, U Blox Correlation, U Blox Hype Analysis, U Blox Volatility, U Blox History as well as U Blox Performance.
  
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U Blox Target Price Odds to finish below 60.42

The tendency of UBXN Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 60.42  or more in 90 days
 70.90 90 days 60.42 
about 1.03
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of U Blox to drop to ₣ 60.42  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.03 (This U Blox Holding probability density function shows the probability of UBXN Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of U Blox Holding price to stay between ₣ 60.42  and its current price of ₣70.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon U Blox has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, U Blox average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding U Blox Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally U Blox Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   U Blox Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for U Blox

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as U Blox Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.2470.9073.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.7757.4377.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
65.3468.0070.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
65.3768.0770.78
Details

U Blox Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. U Blox is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the U Blox's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold U Blox Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of U Blox within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
4.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

U Blox Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of U Blox for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for U Blox Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
U Blox Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

U Blox Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UBXN Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential U Blox's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. U Blox's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments83.7 M

U Blox Technical Analysis

U Blox's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UBXN Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of U Blox Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing UBXN Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

U Blox Predictive Forecast Models

U Blox's time-series forecasting models is one of many U Blox's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary U Blox's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about U Blox Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about U Blox for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for U Blox Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
U Blox Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for UBXN Stock Analysis

When running U Blox's price analysis, check to measure U Blox's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy U Blox is operating at the current time. Most of U Blox's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of U Blox's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move U Blox's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of U Blox to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.