UBS Barclays (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 1383.6

UC85 Etf   1,384  1.00  0.07%   
UBS Barclays' future price is the expected price of UBS Barclays instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of UBS Barclays Liquid performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out UBS Barclays Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, UBS Barclays Correlation, UBS Barclays Hype Analysis, UBS Barclays Volatility, UBS Barclays History as well as UBS Barclays Performance.
  
Please specify UBS Barclays' target price for which you would like UBS Barclays odds to be computed.

UBS Barclays Target Price Odds to finish below 1383.6

The tendency of UBS Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  1,384  or more in 90 days
 1,384 90 days 1,384 
about 8.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS Barclays to drop to  1,384  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.98 (This UBS Barclays Liquid probability density function shows the probability of UBS Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UBS Barclays Liquid price to stay between  1,384  and its current price of 1384.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UBS Barclays Liquid has a beta of -0.043. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UBS Barclays are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UBS Barclays Liquid is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UBS Barclays Liquid has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   UBS Barclays Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for UBS Barclays

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBS Barclays Liquid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,3841,3841,384
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,3541,3541,522
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,3811,3821,382
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,3831,3841,385
Details

UBS Barclays Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UBS Barclays is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UBS Barclays' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UBS Barclays Liquid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UBS Barclays within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
15.90
Ir
Information ratio -0.45

UBS Barclays Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UBS Barclays for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UBS Barclays Liquid can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UBS Barclays Liquid generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
UBS Barclays Liquid generated five year return of -1.0%

UBS Barclays Technical Analysis

UBS Barclays' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UBS Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UBS Barclays Liquid. In general, you should focus on analyzing UBS Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

UBS Barclays Predictive Forecast Models

UBS Barclays' time-series forecasting models is one of many UBS Barclays' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UBS Barclays' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about UBS Barclays Liquid

Checking the ongoing alerts about UBS Barclays for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UBS Barclays Liquid help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
UBS Barclays Liquid generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
UBS Barclays Liquid generated five year return of -1.0%

Other Information on Investing in UBS Etf

UBS Barclays financial ratios help investors to determine whether UBS Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in UBS with respect to the benefits of owning UBS Barclays security.