Usaa Nasdaq 100 Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 49.10

UCNQX Fund  USD 50.86  0.29  0.57%   
Usaa Nasdaq's future price is the expected price of Usaa Nasdaq instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Usaa Nasdaq 100 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Usaa Nasdaq Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Usaa Nasdaq Correlation, Usaa Nasdaq Hype Analysis, Usaa Nasdaq Volatility, Usaa Nasdaq History as well as Usaa Nasdaq Performance.
  
Please specify Usaa Nasdaq's target price for which you would like Usaa Nasdaq odds to be computed.

Usaa Nasdaq Target Price Odds to finish below 49.10

The tendency of Usaa Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 49.10  or more in 90 days
 50.86 90 days 49.10 
about 58.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Usaa Nasdaq to drop to $ 49.10  or more in 90 days from now is about 58.75 (This Usaa Nasdaq 100 probability density function shows the probability of Usaa Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Usaa Nasdaq 100 price to stay between $ 49.10  and its current price of $50.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Usaa Nasdaq has a beta of 0.88. This usually implies Usaa Nasdaq 100 market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Usaa Nasdaq is expected to follow. Additionally Usaa Nasdaq 100 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Usaa Nasdaq Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Usaa Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Usaa Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.001.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.001.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.2150.2551.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.3450.1651.98
Details

Usaa Nasdaq Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Usaa Nasdaq is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Usaa Nasdaq's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Usaa Nasdaq 100, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Usaa Nasdaq within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0077
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.88
σ
Overall volatility
1.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Usaa Nasdaq Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Usaa Nasdaq for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Usaa Nasdaq 100 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.74% of its net assets in stocks

Usaa Nasdaq Technical Analysis

Usaa Nasdaq's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Usaa Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Usaa Nasdaq 100. In general, you should focus on analyzing Usaa Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Usaa Nasdaq Predictive Forecast Models

Usaa Nasdaq's time-series forecasting models is one of many Usaa Nasdaq's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Usaa Nasdaq's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Usaa Nasdaq 100

Checking the ongoing alerts about Usaa Nasdaq for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Usaa Nasdaq 100 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund keeps 99.74% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Usaa Mutual Fund

Usaa Nasdaq financial ratios help investors to determine whether Usaa Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Usaa with respect to the benefits of owning Usaa Nasdaq security.
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