UBS Barclays (Germany) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 14.26
| UEF9 Etf | 14.27 0.04 0.28% |
UBS |
UBS Barclays Target Price Odds to finish below 14.26
The tendency of UBS Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 14.26 or more in 90 days |
| 14.27 | 90 days | 14.26 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UBS Barclays to drop to 14.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This UBS Barclays Liquid probability density function shows the probability of UBS Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UBS Barclays Liquid price to stay between 14.26 and its current price of 14.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UBS Barclays has a beta of 0.093. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, UBS Barclays average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding UBS Barclays Liquid will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally UBS Barclays Liquid has an alpha of 0.0551, implying that it can generate a 0.0551 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). UBS Barclays Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for UBS Barclays
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UBS Barclays Liquid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UBS Barclays Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UBS Barclays is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UBS Barclays' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UBS Barclays Liquid, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UBS Barclays within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
UBS Barclays Technical Analysis
UBS Barclays' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UBS Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UBS Barclays Liquid. In general, you should focus on analyzing UBS Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UBS Barclays Predictive Forecast Models
UBS Barclays' time-series forecasting models is one of many UBS Barclays' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UBS Barclays' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards UBS Barclays in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, UBS Barclays' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from UBS Barclays options trading.