Damai Sejahtera (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 292.12
| UFOE Stock | 308.00 2.00 0.65% |
Damai |
Damai Sejahtera Target Price Odds to finish below 292.12
The tendency of Damai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 292.12 or more in 90 days |
| 308.00 | 90 days | 292.12 | about 75.45 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Damai Sejahtera to drop to 292.12 or more in 90 days from now is about 75.45 (This Damai Sejahtera Abadi probability density function shows the probability of Damai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Damai Sejahtera Abadi price to stay between 292.12 and its current price of 308.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Damai Sejahtera Abadi has a beta of -0.0116. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Damai Sejahtera are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Damai Sejahtera Abadi is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Damai Sejahtera Abadi has an alpha of 0.1977, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Damai Sejahtera Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Damai Sejahtera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Damai Sejahtera Abadi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Damai Sejahtera Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Damai Sejahtera is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Damai Sejahtera's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Damai Sejahtera Abadi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Damai Sejahtera within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 15.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Damai Sejahtera Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Damai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Damai Sejahtera's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Damai Sejahtera's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Damai Sejahtera Technical Analysis
Damai Sejahtera's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Damai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Damai Sejahtera Abadi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Damai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Damai Sejahtera Predictive Forecast Models
Damai Sejahtera's time-series forecasting models is one of many Damai Sejahtera's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Damai Sejahtera's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Damai Sejahtera in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Damai Sejahtera's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Damai Sejahtera options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Damai Stock
Damai Sejahtera financial ratios help investors to determine whether Damai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Damai with respect to the benefits of owning Damai Sejahtera security.