VelocityShares 3x Long Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 186.0
| UGLDFDelisted Etf | USD 163.82 3.75 2.24% |
VelocityShares |
VelocityShares Target Price Odds to finish below 186.0
The tendency of VelocityShares Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 186.00 after 90 days |
| 163.82 | 90 days | 186.00 | about 89.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VelocityShares to stay under $ 186.00 after 90 days from now is about 89.96 (This VelocityShares 3x Long probability density function shows the probability of VelocityShares Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VelocityShares 3x Long price to stay between its current price of $ 163.82 and $ 186.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 67.17 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon VelocityShares 3x Long has a beta of -0.0253. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VelocityShares are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VelocityShares 3x Long is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VelocityShares 3x Long has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. VelocityShares Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VelocityShares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VelocityShares 3x Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VelocityShares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VelocityShares Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VelocityShares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VelocityShares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VelocityShares 3x Long, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VelocityShares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
VelocityShares Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VelocityShares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VelocityShares 3x Long can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VelocityShares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| VelocityShares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| VelocityShares 3x Long generated-13.0 ten year return of -13.0% | |
| This fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments |
VelocityShares Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VelocityShares Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VelocityShares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VelocityShares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 140 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 609 |
VelocityShares Technical Analysis
VelocityShares' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VelocityShares Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VelocityShares 3x Long. In general, you should focus on analyzing VelocityShares Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VelocityShares Predictive Forecast Models
VelocityShares' time-series forecasting models is one of many VelocityShares' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VelocityShares' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VelocityShares 3x Long
Checking the ongoing alerts about VelocityShares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VelocityShares 3x Long help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VelocityShares is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| VelocityShares has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| VelocityShares 3x Long generated-13.0 ten year return of -13.0% | |
| This fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in unemployment. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Other Consideration for investing in VelocityShares Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in VelocityShares 3x Long check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the VelocityShares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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