U Haul Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 65.54
| UHAL-B Stock | 63.50 0.40 0.63% |
U-Haul |
U-Haul Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 65.54
The tendency of U-Haul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 65.54 or more in 90 days |
| 63.50 | 90 days | 65.54 | about 73.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of U-Haul Holding to move over 65.54 or more in 90 days from now is about 73.3 (This U Haul Holding probability density function shows the probability of U-Haul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of U Haul Holding price to stay between its current price of 63.50 and 65.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon U-Haul Holding has a beta of 0.75. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, U-Haul Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding U Haul Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally U Haul Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. U-Haul Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for U-Haul Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as U Haul Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.U-Haul Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. U-Haul Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the U-Haul Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold U Haul Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of U-Haul Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
U-Haul Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of U-Haul Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for U Haul Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| U Haul Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| U Haul Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: U-Haul Holding Co Leads Keeley-Teton Advisors New Investments in Q3 2024 |
U-Haul Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of U-Haul Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential U-Haul Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. U-Haul Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 196.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
U-Haul Holding Technical Analysis
U-Haul Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. U-Haul Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of U Haul Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing U-Haul Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
U-Haul Holding Predictive Forecast Models
U-Haul Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many U-Haul Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary U-Haul Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about U Haul Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about U-Haul Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for U Haul Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| U Haul Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| U Haul Holding has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: U-Haul Holding Co Leads Keeley-Teton Advisors New Investments in Q3 2024 |
Check out U-Haul Holding Backtesting, U-Haul Holding Valuation, U-Haul Holding Correlation, U-Haul Holding Hype Analysis, U-Haul Holding Volatility, U-Haul Holding History as well as U-Haul Holding Performance. For information on how to trade U-Haul Stock refer to our How to Trade U-Haul Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.