Ultrapetrol Bahamas Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.0E-4
| ULTRFDelisted Stock | USD 0.0002 0.00 0.00% |
Ultrapetrol |
Ultrapetrol Bahamas Target Price Odds to finish over 2.0E-4
The tendency of Ultrapetrol Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.0002 | 90 days | 0.0002 | about 20.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ultrapetrol Bahamas to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.72 (This Ultrapetrol Bahamas probability density function shows the probability of Ultrapetrol Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ultrapetrol Bahamas has a beta of -3.37. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ultrapetrol Bahamas are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ultrapetrol Bahamas is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Ultrapetrol Bahamas has an alpha of 2.1328, implying that it can generate a 2.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ultrapetrol Bahamas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ultrapetrol Bahamas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ultrapetrol Bahamas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ultrapetrol Bahamas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ultrapetrol Bahamas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ultrapetrol Bahamas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ultrapetrol Bahamas, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ultrapetrol Bahamas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.000049 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Ultrapetrol Bahamas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ultrapetrol Bahamas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ultrapetrol Bahamas can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ultrapetrol Bahamas is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas has accumulated 445.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.89, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ultrapetrol Bahamas has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ultrapetrol Bahamas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ultrapetrol Bahamas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ultrapetrol Bahamas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ultrapetrol to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ultrapetrol Bahamas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 347.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.38 M. | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Aurora, King Power, M-150, Royal Umbrella, TOPS, TrueOnline, and VISTRA are among the Winners of the 2024-2025 World Branding Awards |
Ultrapetrol Bahamas Technical Analysis
Ultrapetrol Bahamas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ultrapetrol Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ultrapetrol Bahamas. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ultrapetrol Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ultrapetrol Bahamas Predictive Forecast Models
Ultrapetrol Bahamas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ultrapetrol Bahamas' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ultrapetrol Bahamas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ultrapetrol Bahamas
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ultrapetrol Bahamas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ultrapetrol Bahamas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Ultrapetrol Bahamas has accumulated 445.8 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.89, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ultrapetrol Bahamas has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ultrapetrol Bahamas until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ultrapetrol Bahamas' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ultrapetrol Bahamas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ultrapetrol to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ultrapetrol Bahamas' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 347.48 M. Net Loss for the year was (48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 105.38 M. | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Aurora, King Power, M-150, Royal Umbrella, TOPS, TrueOnline, and VISTRA are among the Winners of the 2024-2025 World Branding Awards |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Ultrapetrol Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Ultrapetrol Bahamas check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Ultrapetrol Bahamas' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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