UMF Group Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0235
| UMFGDelisted Stock | USD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
UMF |
UMF Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0235
The tendency of UMF Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.02 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UMF to stay under $ 0.02 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This UMF Group probability density function shows the probability of UMF Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UMF Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.01 and $ 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.82 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days UMF Group has a beta of -1.73. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding UMF Group are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, UMF is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that UMF Group has an alpha of 2.1157, implying that it can generate a 2.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). UMF Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UMF
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UMF Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UMF Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UMF is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UMF's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UMF Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UMF within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
UMF Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UMF for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UMF Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| UMF Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| UMF Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| UMF Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| UMF Group currently holds 55.5 K in liabilities. UMF Group has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist UMF until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UMF's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UMF Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UMF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UMF's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 10.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.72 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 126.04 K. | |
| UMF generates negative cash flow from operations |
UMF Technical Analysis
UMF's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UMF Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UMF Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing UMF Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UMF Predictive Forecast Models
UMF's time-series forecasting models is one of many UMF's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UMF's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UMF Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about UMF for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UMF Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| UMF Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| UMF Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| UMF Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| UMF Group currently holds 55.5 K in liabilities. UMF Group has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist UMF until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, UMF's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like UMF Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for UMF to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about UMF's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 10.24 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.72 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 126.04 K. | |
| UMF generates negative cash flow from operations |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Other Consideration for investing in UMF Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in UMF Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the UMF's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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