UMH Properties (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6848.55
| UMH Stock | 6,944 142.00 2.00% |
UMH |
UMH Properties Target Price Odds to finish below 6848.55
The tendency of UMH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 6,849 or more in 90 days |
| 6,944 | 90 days | 6,849 | about 44.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of UMH Properties to drop to 6,849 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.44 (This UMH Properties probability density function shows the probability of UMH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of UMH Properties price to stay between 6,849 and its current price of 6944.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.3 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon UMH Properties has a beta of -0.38. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding UMH Properties are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, UMH Properties is likely to outperform the market. Additionally UMH Properties has an alpha of 0.3373, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). UMH Properties Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for UMH Properties
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as UMH Properties. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.UMH Properties Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. UMH Properties is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the UMH Properties' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold UMH Properties, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of UMH Properties within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 457.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
UMH Properties Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of UMH Properties for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for UMH Properties can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
UMH Properties Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of UMH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential UMH Properties' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UMH Properties' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0445 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 2.84 | |
| Shares Float | 50.4 M |
UMH Properties Technical Analysis
UMH Properties' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. UMH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of UMH Properties. In general, you should focus on analyzing UMH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
UMH Properties Predictive Forecast Models
UMH Properties' time-series forecasting models is one of many UMH Properties' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary UMH Properties' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about UMH Properties
Checking the ongoing alerts about UMH Properties for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for UMH Properties help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 74.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in UMH Stock
When determining whether UMH Properties offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of UMH Properties' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Umh Properties Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Umh Properties Stock:Check out UMH Properties Backtesting, UMH Properties Valuation, UMH Properties Correlation, UMH Properties Hype Analysis, UMH Properties Volatility, UMH Properties History as well as UMH Properties Performance. For information on how to trade UMH Stock refer to our How to Trade UMH Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.