Uscf Midstream Energy Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 49.17
| UMI Etf | USD 53.68 0.07 0.13% |
USCF |
USCF Midstream Target Price Odds to finish below 49.17
The tendency of USCF Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 49.17 or more in 90 days |
| 53.68 | 90 days | 49.17 | about 83.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of USCF Midstream to drop to $ 49.17 or more in 90 days from now is about 83.23 (This USCF Midstream Energy probability density function shows the probability of USCF Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of USCF Midstream Energy price to stay between $ 49.17 and its current price of $53.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.3 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon USCF Midstream has a beta of 0.52. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, USCF Midstream average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding USCF Midstream Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally USCF Midstream Energy has an alpha of 0.2531, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). USCF Midstream Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for USCF Midstream
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USCF Midstream Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.USCF Midstream Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. USCF Midstream is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the USCF Midstream's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold USCF Midstream Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of USCF Midstream within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.23 |
USCF Midstream Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of USCF Midstream for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for USCF Midstream Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund keeps 99.32% of its net assets in stocks |
USCF Midstream Technical Analysis
USCF Midstream's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. USCF Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of USCF Midstream Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing USCF Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
USCF Midstream Predictive Forecast Models
USCF Midstream's time-series forecasting models is one of many USCF Midstream's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary USCF Midstream's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about USCF Midstream Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about USCF Midstream for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for USCF Midstream Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: When Moves Investors should Listen - Stock Traders Daily | |
| The fund keeps 99.32% of its net assets in stocks |
Check out USCF Midstream Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, USCF Midstream Correlation, USCF Midstream Hype Analysis, USCF Midstream Volatility, USCF Midstream History as well as USCF Midstream Performance. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
The market value of USCF Midstream Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USCF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of USCF Midstream's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is USCF Midstream's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because USCF Midstream's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect USCF Midstream's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USCF Midstream's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USCF Midstream is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, USCF Midstream's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.