Unggul Indah (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7,949
| UNIC Stock | IDR 7,950 25.00 0.32% |
Unggul |
Unggul Indah Target Price Odds to finish below 7,949
The tendency of Unggul Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 7,950 | 90 days | 7,950 | about 31.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unggul Indah to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 31.38 (This Unggul Indah Cahaya probability density function shows the probability of Unggul Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Unggul Indah has a beta of 0.0153. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Unggul Indah average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Unggul Indah Cahaya will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Unggul Indah Cahaya has an alpha of 0.0036, implying that it can generate a 0.003551 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Unggul Indah Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Unggul Indah
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unggul Indah Cahaya. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unggul Indah Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unggul Indah is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unggul Indah's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unggul Indah Cahaya, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unggul Indah within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 139.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Unggul Indah Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unggul Indah for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unggul Indah Cahaya can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Unggul Indah Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unggul Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unggul Indah's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unggul Indah's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81.1 M |
Unggul Indah Technical Analysis
Unggul Indah's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unggul Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unggul Indah Cahaya. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unggul Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Unggul Indah Predictive Forecast Models
Unggul Indah's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unggul Indah's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unggul Indah's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Unggul Indah Cahaya
Checking the ongoing alerts about Unggul Indah for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unggul Indah Cahaya help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Unggul Stock
Unggul Indah financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unggul Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unggul with respect to the benefits of owning Unggul Indah security.