United Tractors (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 24,429
| UNTR Stock | IDR 26,775 600.00 2.19% |
United |
United Tractors Target Price Odds to finish below 24,429
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 26,775 | 90 days | 26,775 | about 62.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Tractors to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 62.59 (This United Tractors Tbk probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon United Tractors Tbk has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding United Tractors are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, United Tractors Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally United Tractors Tbk has an alpha of 0.0153, implying that it can generate a 0.0153 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). United Tractors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for United Tractors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Tractors Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Tractors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Tractors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Tractors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Tractors Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Tractors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 485.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
United Tractors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Tractors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Tractors Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United Tractors Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
United Tractors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Tractors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Tractors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.3 T |
United Tractors Technical Analysis
United Tractors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Tractors Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Tractors Predictive Forecast Models
United Tractors' time-series forecasting models is one of many United Tractors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Tractors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Tractors Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Tractors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Tractors Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United Tractors Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in United Stock
United Tractors financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Tractors security.