Unilever Indonesia (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1755.0
| UNVR Stock | IDR 1,870 75.00 4.18% |
Unilever |
Unilever Indonesia Target Price Odds to finish over 1755.0
The tendency of Unilever Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,755 in 90 days |
| 1,870 | 90 days | 1,755 | roughly 96.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Unilever Indonesia to stay above 1,755 in 90 days from now is roughly 96.0 (This Unilever Indonesia Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Unilever Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Unilever Indonesia Tbk price to stay between 1,755 and its current price of 1870.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a beta of -0.32. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Unilever Indonesia are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Unilever Indonesia Tbk is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Unilever Indonesia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Unilever Indonesia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unilever Indonesia Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unilever Indonesia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Unilever Indonesia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Unilever Indonesia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Unilever Indonesia Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Unilever Indonesia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 209.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Unilever Indonesia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Unilever Indonesia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Unilever Indonesia Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Unilever Indonesia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Unilever Indonesia Tbk has accumulated 803.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Unilever Indonesia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Unilever Indonesia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Unilever Indonesia Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Unilever to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Unilever Indonesia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Unilever Indonesia outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Unilever Indonesia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Unilever Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Unilever Indonesia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unilever Indonesia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 B |
Unilever Indonesia Technical Analysis
Unilever Indonesia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Unilever Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Unilever Indonesia Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Unilever Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Unilever Indonesia Predictive Forecast Models
Unilever Indonesia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Unilever Indonesia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Unilever Indonesia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Unilever Indonesia Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Unilever Indonesia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Unilever Indonesia Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Unilever Indonesia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Unilever Indonesia Tbk has accumulated 803.62 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.18, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Unilever Indonesia Tbk has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Unilever Indonesia until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Unilever Indonesia's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Unilever Indonesia Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Unilever to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Unilever Indonesia's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 85.0% of Unilever Indonesia outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Unilever Stock
Unilever Indonesia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unilever Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unilever with respect to the benefits of owning Unilever Indonesia security.