United Palm (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 664.21
| UPOIC Stock | THB 6.60 0.05 0.76% |
United |
United Palm Target Price Odds to finish over 664.21
The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 664.21 or more in 90 days |
| 6.60 | 90 days | 664.21 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Palm to move over 664.21 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This United Palm Oil probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Palm Oil price to stay between its current price of 6.60 and 664.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.65 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon United Palm has a beta of 0.25. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, United Palm average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding United Palm Oil will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally United Palm Oil has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. United Palm Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for United Palm
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Palm Oil. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Palm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
United Palm Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Palm is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Palm's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Palm Oil, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Palm within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.81 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
United Palm Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Palm for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Palm Oil can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| United Palm Oil is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| United Palm Oil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
United Palm Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Palm's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Palm's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 324.1 M |
United Palm Technical Analysis
United Palm's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Palm Oil. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
United Palm Predictive Forecast Models
United Palm's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Palm's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Palm's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about United Palm Oil
Checking the ongoing alerts about United Palm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Palm Oil help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| United Palm Oil is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| United Palm Oil appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in United Stock
United Palm financial ratios help investors to determine whether United Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Palm security.