Upexi Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.64
| UPXI Stock | USD 4.64 0.07 1.53% |
Upexi |
Upexi Target Price Odds to finish over 5.64
The tendency of Upexi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 5.64 or more in 90 days |
| 4.64 | 90 days | 5.64 | about 21.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Upexi to move over $ 5.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 21.68 (This Upexi Inc probability density function shows the probability of Upexi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Upexi Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 4.64 and $ 5.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.34 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Upexi Inc has a beta of -1.23. This usually implies as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Upexi Inc are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Upexi is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Upexi Inc has an alpha of 1.888, implying that it can generate a 1.89 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Upexi Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Upexi
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Upexi Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Upexi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Upexi Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Upexi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Upexi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Upexi Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Upexi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Upexi Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Upexi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Upexi Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Upexi Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Upexi Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Upexi Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 80.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.56 M. | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Upexi Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Upexi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Upexi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Upexi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 M |
Upexi Technical Analysis
Upexi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Upexi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Upexi Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Upexi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Upexi Predictive Forecast Models
Upexi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Upexi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Upexi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Upexi Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Upexi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Upexi Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Upexi Inc is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Upexi Inc appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Upexi Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 80.68 M. Net Loss for the year was (16.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33.56 M. | |
| About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Check out Upexi Backtesting, Upexi Valuation, Upexi Correlation, Upexi Hype Analysis, Upexi Volatility, Upexi History as well as Upexi Performance. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Pharmaceutical Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Upexi. If investors know Upexi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Upexi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Upexi Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Upexi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Upexi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Upexi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Upexi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Upexi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Upexi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Upexi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Upexi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.