Urbana Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.14
| URB-A Stock | CAD 5.40 0.17 3.05% |
Urbana |
Urbana Target Price Odds to finish over 6.14
The tendency of Urbana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 6.14 or more in 90 days |
| 5.40 | 90 days | 6.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Urbana to move over C$ 6.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Urbana probability density function shows the probability of Urbana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Urbana price to stay between its current price of C$ 5.40 and C$ 6.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Urbana has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Urbana average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Urbana will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Urbana has an alpha of 0.1432, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Urbana Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Urbana
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urbana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Urbana Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Urbana is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Urbana's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Urbana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Urbana within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Urbana Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Urbana for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Urbana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Urbana has accumulated 42.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Urbana has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Urbana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Urbana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Urbana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Urbana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Urbana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Urbana has accumulated about 211 K in cash with (3.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Urbana Corporation Announces Approval of Sale of Integrated Grain Processors Co-operative Inc. - Yahoo Finance |
Urbana Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Urbana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Urbana's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urbana's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 341.4 K |
Urbana Technical Analysis
Urbana's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Urbana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Urbana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Urbana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Urbana Predictive Forecast Models
Urbana's time-series forecasting models is one of many Urbana's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Urbana's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Urbana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Urbana for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Urbana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Urbana has accumulated 42.7 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.01, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Urbana has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Urbana until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Urbana's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Urbana sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Urbana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Urbana's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Urbana has accumulated about 211 K in cash with (3.56 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Urbana Corporation Announces Approval of Sale of Integrated Grain Processors Co-operative Inc. - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for Urbana Stock Analysis
When running Urbana's price analysis, check to measure Urbana's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Urbana is operating at the current time. Most of Urbana's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Urbana's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Urbana's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Urbana to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.