Ur Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.05
| URG Stock | USD 1.31 0.04 3.15% |
URG |
Ur Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 10.05
The tendency of URG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.05 or more in 90 days |
| 1.31 | 90 days | 10.05 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ur Energy to move over $ 10.05 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Ur Energy probability density function shows the probability of URG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ur Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 1.31 and $ 10.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.75 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Ur Energy has a beta of 0.84. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Ur Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ur Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ur Energy has an alpha of 0.1997, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ur Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ur Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ur Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ur Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ur Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ur Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ur Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ur Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Ur Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ur Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ur Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ur Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 17.68 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.66 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (11.53 M). | |
| Ur Energy has about 30.44 M in cash with (16.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Ur Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MMCAP International Inc. SPC Acquires New Holdings in Centurion Acquisition Corp |
Ur Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of URG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ur Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ur Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 260 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 59.7 M |
Ur Energy Technical Analysis
Ur Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. URG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ur Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing URG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ur Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Ur Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ur Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ur Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ur Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ur Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ur Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ur Energy may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 17.68 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (30.66 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (11.53 M). | |
| Ur Energy has about 30.44 M in cash with (16.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.18. | |
| Ur Energy has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: MMCAP International Inc. SPC Acquires New Holdings in Centurion Acquisition Corp |
Check out Ur Energy Backtesting, Ur Energy Valuation, Ur Energy Correlation, Ur Energy Hype Analysis, Ur Energy Volatility, Ur Energy History as well as Ur Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in URG Stock please use our How to Invest in Ur Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ur Energy. If investors know URG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ur Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.13) | Revenue Per Share 0.056 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.113 | Return On Assets (0.18) | Return On Equity (0.34) |
The market value of Ur Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of URG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ur Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ur Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ur Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ur Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ur Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ur Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ur Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.