AMC ENTMT HLDGS Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 90.75

00165CAD6   90.75  0.77  0.84%   
00165CAD6's future price is the expected price of 00165CAD6 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AMC ENTMT HLDGS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 00165CAD6 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 00165CAD6 Correlation, 00165CAD6 Hype Analysis, 00165CAD6 Volatility, 00165CAD6 History as well as 00165CAD6 Performance.
  
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00165CAD6 Target Price Odds to finish over 90.75

The tendency of 00165CAD6 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 90.75 90 days 90.75 
about 27.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 00165CAD6 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 27.78 (This AMC ENTMT HLDGS probability density function shows the probability of 00165CAD6 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the bond has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This usually implies AMC ENTMT HLDGS market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, 00165CAD6 is expected to follow. In addition to that AMC ENTMT HLDGS has an alpha of 2.4553, implying that it can generate a 2.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   00165CAD6 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 00165CAD6

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC ENTMT HLDGS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
89.1290.7392.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.5876.1999.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.7372.3573.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.0058.78105.57
Details

00165CAD6 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 00165CAD6 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 00165CAD6's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMC ENTMT HLDGS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 00165CAD6 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
2.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
14.08
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

00165CAD6 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 00165CAD6 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMC ENTMT HLDGS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

00165CAD6 Technical Analysis

00165CAD6's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 00165CAD6 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMC ENTMT HLDGS. In general, you should focus on analyzing 00165CAD6 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

00165CAD6 Predictive Forecast Models

00165CAD6's time-series forecasting models is one of many 00165CAD6's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 00165CAD6's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AMC ENTMT HLDGS

Checking the ongoing alerts about 00165CAD6 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMC ENTMT HLDGS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in 00165CAD6 Bond

00165CAD6 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00165CAD6 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00165CAD6 with respect to the benefits of owning 00165CAD6 security.