ATT P 65 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 99.48

001957AW9   99.48  5.05  4.83%   
001957AW9's future price is the expected price of 001957AW9 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ATT P 65 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 001957AW9 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 001957AW9 Correlation, 001957AW9 Hype Analysis, 001957AW9 Volatility, 001957AW9 History as well as 001957AW9 Performance.
  
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001957AW9 Target Price Odds to finish over 99.48

The tendency of 001957AW9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 99.48 90 days 99.48 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 001957AW9 to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This ATT P 65 probability density function shows the probability of 001957AW9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATT P 65 has a beta of -0.0626. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 001957AW9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ATT P 65 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATT P 65 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   001957AW9 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 001957AW9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 001957AW9. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.3799.48100.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.3882.49109.43
Details

001957AW9 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 001957AW9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 001957AW9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATT P 65, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 001957AW9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.68
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

001957AW9 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 001957AW9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 001957AW9 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
001957AW9 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

001957AW9 Technical Analysis

001957AW9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 001957AW9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATT P 65. In general, you should focus on analyzing 001957AW9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

001957AW9 Predictive Forecast Models

001957AW9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 001957AW9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 001957AW9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about 001957AW9

Checking the ongoing alerts about 001957AW9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 001957AW9 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
001957AW9 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 001957AW9 Bond

001957AW9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 001957AW9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 001957AW9 with respect to the benefits of owning 001957AW9 security.