ATT INC 435 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 82.44
| 00206RBK7 | 85.72 7.82 10.04% |
00206RBK7 |
00206RBK7 Target Price Odds to finish below 82.44
The tendency of 00206RBK7 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 82.44 or more in 90 days |
| 85.72 | 90 days | 82.44 | about 7.59 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 00206RBK7 to drop to 82.44 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.59 (This ATT INC 435 probability density function shows the probability of 00206RBK7 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATT INC 435 price to stay between 82.44 and its current price of 85.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATT INC 435 has a beta of -0.35. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 00206RBK7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ATT INC 435 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATT INC 435 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 00206RBK7 Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 00206RBK7
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATT INC 435. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.00206RBK7 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 00206RBK7 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 00206RBK7's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATT INC 435, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 00206RBK7 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
00206RBK7 Technical Analysis
00206RBK7's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 00206RBK7 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATT INC 435. In general, you should focus on analyzing 00206RBK7 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
00206RBK7 Predictive Forecast Models
00206RBK7's time-series forecasting models is one of many 00206RBK7's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 00206RBK7's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 00206RBK7 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 00206RBK7's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 00206RBK7 options trading.
Other Information on Investing in 00206RBK7 Bond
00206RBK7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 00206RBK7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 00206RBK7 with respect to the benefits of owning 00206RBK7 security.