ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 97.11

015271AN9   97.11  1.62  1.64%   
ALEXANDRIA's future price is the expected price of ALEXANDRIA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ALEXANDRIA Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ALEXANDRIA Correlation, ALEXANDRIA Hype Analysis, ALEXANDRIA Volatility, ALEXANDRIA History as well as ALEXANDRIA Performance.
  
Please specify ALEXANDRIA's target price for which you would like ALEXANDRIA odds to be computed.

ALEXANDRIA Target Price Odds to finish over 97.11

The tendency of ALEXANDRIA Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 97.11 90 days 97.11 
about 91.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ALEXANDRIA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.64 (This ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE probability density function shows the probability of ALEXANDRIA Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ALEXANDRIA has a beta of 0.0086. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, ALEXANDRIA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ALEXANDRIA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ALEXANDRIA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.5897.1197.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.8390.36106.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.7997.3297.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
95.5998.16100.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ALEXANDRIA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ALEXANDRIA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ALEXANDRIA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE.

ALEXANDRIA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ALEXANDRIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ALEXANDRIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ALEXANDRIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
1.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

ALEXANDRIA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ALEXANDRIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ALEXANDRIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ALEXANDRIA Technical Analysis

ALEXANDRIA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ALEXANDRIA Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE. In general, you should focus on analyzing ALEXANDRIA Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ALEXANDRIA Predictive Forecast Models

ALEXANDRIA's time-series forecasting models is one of many ALEXANDRIA's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ALEXANDRIA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE

Checking the ongoing alerts about ALEXANDRIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ALEXANDRIA REAL ESTATE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ALEXANDRIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ALEXANDRIA Bond

ALEXANDRIA financial ratios help investors to determine whether ALEXANDRIA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ALEXANDRIA with respect to the benefits of owning ALEXANDRIA security.