ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 85.16
| 01626PAG1 | 83.78 0.00 0.00% |
ATDBCN |
ATDBCN Target Price Odds to finish over 85.16
The tendency of ATDBCN Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 85.16 or more in 90 days |
| 83.78 | 90 days | 85.16 | about 38.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ATDBCN to move over 85.16 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.49 (This ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47 probability density function shows the probability of ATDBCN Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ATDBCN 45 26 price to stay between its current price of 83.78 and 85.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 17.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47 has a beta of -0.0903. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ATDBCN are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47 has an alpha of 0.1785, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ATDBCN Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for ATDBCN
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ATDBCN 45 26. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ATDBCN Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ATDBCN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ATDBCN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ATDBCN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
ATDBCN Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ATDBCN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ATDBCN 45 26 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ATDBCN 45 26 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
ATDBCN Technical Analysis
ATDBCN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATDBCN Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ATDBCN 45 26 JUL 47. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATDBCN Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ATDBCN Predictive Forecast Models
ATDBCN's time-series forecasting models is one of many ATDBCN's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ATDBCN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ATDBCN 45 26
Checking the ongoing alerts about ATDBCN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ATDBCN 45 26 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ATDBCN 45 26 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in ATDBCN Bond
ATDBCN financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATDBCN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATDBCN with respect to the benefits of owning ATDBCN security.