AMH 3375 15 JUL 51 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 67.28

02666TAD9   65.50  3.81  5.50%   
02666TAD9's future price is the expected price of 02666TAD9 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AMH 3375 15 JUL 51 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out 02666TAD9 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, 02666TAD9 Correlation, 02666TAD9 Hype Analysis, 02666TAD9 Volatility, 02666TAD9 History as well as 02666TAD9 Performance.
  
Please specify 02666TAD9's target price for which you would like 02666TAD9 odds to be computed.

02666TAD9 Target Price Odds to finish over 67.28

The tendency of 02666TAD9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  67.28  or more in 90 days
 65.50 90 days 67.28 
about 58.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 02666TAD9 to move over  67.28  or more in 90 days from now is about 58.77 (This AMH 3375 15 JUL 51 probability density function shows the probability of 02666TAD9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AMH 3375 15 price to stay between its current price of  65.50  and  67.28  at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AMH 3375 15 JUL 51 has a beta of -0.11. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 02666TAD9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AMH 3375 15 JUL 51 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AMH 3375 15 JUL 51 has an alpha of 0.0831, implying that it can generate a 0.0831 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   02666TAD9 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for 02666TAD9

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMH 3375 15. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.8265.5067.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.2755.9572.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.5165.1966.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.7465.3666.98
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 02666TAD9. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 02666TAD9's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 02666TAD9's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AMH 3375 15.

02666TAD9 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 02666TAD9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 02666TAD9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AMH 3375 15 JUL 51, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 02666TAD9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
2.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

02666TAD9 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 02666TAD9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AMH 3375 15 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMH 3375 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

02666TAD9 Technical Analysis

02666TAD9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 02666TAD9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AMH 3375 15 JUL 51. In general, you should focus on analyzing 02666TAD9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

02666TAD9 Predictive Forecast Models

02666TAD9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 02666TAD9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 02666TAD9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AMH 3375 15

Checking the ongoing alerts about 02666TAD9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AMH 3375 15 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AMH 3375 15 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in 02666TAD9 Bond

02666TAD9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 02666TAD9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 02666TAD9 with respect to the benefits of owning 02666TAD9 security.