AON P 8205 Probability of Future Bond Price Finishing Under 106.94
| 037389AK9 | 106.94 1.24 1.17% |
037389AK9 |
037389AK9 Target Price Odds to finish below 106.94
The tendency of 037389AK9 Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 106.94 | 90 days | 106.94 | about 44.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 037389AK9 to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 44.49 (This AON P 8205 probability density function shows the probability of 037389AK9 Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AON P 8205 has a beta of -0.14. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 037389AK9 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, AON P 8205 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AON P 8205 has an alpha of 0.0135, implying that it can generate a 0.0135 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 037389AK9 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 037389AK9
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AON P 8205. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.037389AK9 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 037389AK9 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 037389AK9's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AON P 8205, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 037389AK9 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.33 |
037389AK9 Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 037389AK9 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AON P 8205 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AON P 8205 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Valvoline Stock |
037389AK9 Technical Analysis
037389AK9's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 037389AK9 Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AON P 8205. In general, you should focus on analyzing 037389AK9 Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
037389AK9 Predictive Forecast Models
037389AK9's time-series forecasting models is one of many 037389AK9's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 037389AK9's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AON P 8205
Checking the ongoing alerts about 037389AK9 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AON P 8205 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AON P 8205 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Are Options Traders Betting on a Big Move in Valvoline Stock |
Other Information on Investing in 037389AK9 Bond
037389AK9 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 037389AK9 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 037389AK9 with respect to the benefits of owning 037389AK9 security.