BAIDU INC 3625 Chance of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 97.62

056752AJ7   97.46  0.00  0.00%   
BAIDU's future price is the expected price of BAIDU instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BAIDU INC 3625 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BAIDU Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BAIDU Correlation, BAIDU Hype Analysis, BAIDU Volatility, BAIDU History as well as BAIDU Performance.
  
Please specify BAIDU's target price for which you would like BAIDU odds to be computed.

BAIDU Target Price Odds to finish over 97.62

The tendency of BAIDU Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  97.62  or more in 90 days
 97.46 90 days 97.62 
about 87.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BAIDU to move over  97.62  or more in 90 days from now is about 87.35 (This BAIDU INC 3625 probability density function shows the probability of BAIDU Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BAIDU INC 3625 price to stay between its current price of  97.46  and  97.62  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BAIDU has a beta of 0.0279. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, BAIDU average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BAIDU INC 3625 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BAIDU INC 3625 has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BAIDU Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BAIDU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BAIDU INC 3625. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.1597.4697.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.7197.02107.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.3696.6796.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
96.3597.7299.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BAIDU. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BAIDU's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BAIDU's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in BAIDU INC 3625.

BAIDU Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BAIDU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BAIDU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BAIDU INC 3625, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BAIDU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.35
Ir
Information ratio -0.44

BAIDU Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BAIDU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BAIDU INC 3625 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BAIDU INC 3625 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BAIDU Technical Analysis

BAIDU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BAIDU Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BAIDU INC 3625. In general, you should focus on analyzing BAIDU Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BAIDU Predictive Forecast Models

BAIDU's time-series forecasting models is one of many BAIDU's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BAIDU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BAIDU INC 3625

Checking the ongoing alerts about BAIDU for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BAIDU INC 3625 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BAIDU INC 3625 generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BAIDU Bond

BAIDU financial ratios help investors to determine whether BAIDU Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BAIDU with respect to the benefits of owning BAIDU security.